The risk monitoring and audit of the security of railway transportation

Tarasenko Vasiliy Anatolyevich

The purpose of the work is to conduct a systematic analysis of the problem of monitoring safety risks in railway transport for their assessment and reduction, organization of logistics (hence technical) safety audit, identification of control factors and construction of an appropriate methodology and model. We used methods of system analysis (primarily analysis-synthesis, decomposition, model, linearization and identification), mathematical statistics (regression analysis, F-statistics, t-statistics, and others), classification and taxonomy of key risks of a territorial (regional) type, as well as decision-making in conditions of uncertainty and situational modeling, risk-intensity assessment. As one of the main results of the work, a procedure for identifying integral risk by its components is proposed, based on the Allen-type model (production function). The key tasks of audit and infrastructure transformations are also classified. A procedure for assessing the "band" of acceptable risks is proposed. The significance of this work is not only in the practical relevance of the problem under study, but also in the theoretical possibility of building on its basis a General methodology and more complex algorithms for risk assessment, solving practical problems of railway transport safety, building on its basis plans (programs) for the safety audit of a railway company.

Keywords:monitoring, safety, risks, railway, transportation, logistics, transport, modeling.